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HomeMy WebLinkAboutitem 4 Orange Line extension studyLakeville City Council January 27, 2020 METRO Orange Line Phase 1 •BRT between Minneapolis and Burnsville •12 transit station pairs •Amenities similar to LRT •All-day, reliable, frequent service on I-35W •Service begins December 2021 The Extension (OLX) Two or More Additional Stations South of Burnsville Parkway •Burnsville Center Station Area •Kenrick Park -and-Ride •Considered additional stations near Crystal Lake Rd. and CSAHs 50, 60, 70 Study Management •Oversight by Project Management Team and Technical Advisory Committee •Burnsville and Lakeville •Metro Transit and MVTA •Dakota County, Met Council, MnDOT Study Components •Public involvement •Evaluate locations for stations •Identify routing and operations needs •Capital and operations needs •Ridership analysis •Consideration of future conditions Public Involvement •Targeted meetings •One-on-one with stakeholders •Info table at local events •Online •Project website •Social media •Open Houses •October 2017 •November 2019 Burnsville Central Station •Multiple Needs to address •Access •Routing and operations •Potential changes to area •Expected service demand •Recommend station on north or west side •Several concepts developed to accommodate future changes Burnsville Central Station Concepts Lakeville Kenrick Station •Access •Siting BRT facilities •Capacity •Expected service demand Routing •Preference to operate on I- 35/I35W to the greatest extent possible •Leave options open to establish station near CSAH 50 & 175th St. •1-2 additional buses to extend to Burnsville Central Station •4-5 additional buses to extend to Kenrick Park and Ride Estimation Purpose and Process •Understand whether ridership at Burnsville Central Station and Kenrick Park and Ride is near regional standards for transitways •Developed model with Metropolitan Council guidance •Estimated for 2020, 2040, and 2040 scenario with redevelopment Ridership 2020 2040 2040 (redevelopment) Burnsville Central Station 220-240 270-290 490-510 Kenrick Park & Ride 220-240 260-280 320-340 Passengers per in-service hour for 2020 •9 for extension to Burnsville Central station •6 for extension to Kenrick Park & Ride Separate process used for estimating ridership at CSAH 50, 60 and 70 •CSAH 50 station may be feasible due to low additional operating expense •Insufficient demand for CSAH 60 & 70 stations Ridership Regional Standards •Station boardings: 200 or more •Passengers/service hour, entire line: 25 or more Considerations •Focus on performance of entire line, or the increment? •Kenrick ridership almost entirely to downtown –is BRT the answer? •Uncertainty with ridership estimation process Ridership •Extension of Orange Line to Burnsville Central Station with Conditions •Public and private commitments toward redevelopment of Burnsville Center Mall area •Understanding of Orange Line ridership and usage following opening of Phase 1 in 2021 •Kenrick Park & Ride not recommended for service in near or mid term Draft Recommendation Study Conclusion and Next Steps 2019 •Finalize Study Documentation 2020 •Seek local resolutions of support •Seek amendment of regional Transportation Policy Plan 2020-2023 •Monitor progress of redevelopment near Burnsville Center •Evaluate performance of Orange Line following service launch Thank You Joe Morneau 952-891-7986 joe.morneau@co.dakota.mn.us Executive Summary 2019 1 December 2019 Project Management Structure The OLX Study was commissioned and funded by Dakota County Regional Railroad Authority (DCRRA). Project committees included the Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) and Project Management Team (PMT). The TAC and PMT met regularly to discuss study progress and provide guidance on technical issues. The project team used these opportunities to further communicate with project stakeholders, both to share information and gather input. The project management and organizational structure is illustrated in Figure 2. The Project Management Plan is detailed in Appendix A: Project Management Plan. BLOOMINGTON BURNSVILLE RICHFIELD MINNEAPOLIS BurnsvilleHeart of the City I-35W & Burnsville Pkwy I-35W &98th St Knox Ave &American Knox Ave &76th St I-35W &66th St I-35W & 46th St I-35W & Lake 11th St 7th St 3rd St 5th St DOWNTOWN MINNEAPOLIS 35W 35W 35W 94 94 494 HWY62 HWY13 Figure 1: Phase 1 (above) aligment of Orange Line BRT; Phase 2 (below) areas studied for potential stations and extension of Orange Line BRT Figure 2: Project Management & Organizational Structure PHASE 2 PHASE 1 Project Management Team I-35W Solutions Alliance Public and Key Stakeholders DCRRA Metropolitan Council TAC Staff Executive Summary Overview The METRO Orange Line is a planned bus rapid transit (BRT) line that runs from downtown Minneapolis to Burnsville. The 17-mile highway route will utilize managed and MnPass travel lanes, and feature frequent, all-day service, and enhanced station amenities. Phase 1 of service is scheduled to be operational in late 2021. The Phase 2 METRO Orange Line Extension (OLX) Study analyzed the implications of extending METRO Orange Line service south to the Kenrick Park & Ride in Lakeville, an extension that adds two or more stations and approximately five miles to the initial line (Figure 1). The OLX Study included a robust public involvement and communication process and an in-depth technical analysis. These efforts informed the the recommendation to develop an Orange Line transitway extension to Burnvsville Center Village. This extension should occur at the same time as public and private redevelopment activities in the area and based on the performance of Phase I and connecting local bus services, which are anticipated to start in late 2021. 2 December 2019 Supporting Appendices The information summarized in this Executive Summary is found in greater detail in seven supporting technical memorandums, included as appendices (see right). Public Involvement & Communication The OLX Study involved outreach and coordination with the public, businesses, civic organizations, and others interested in the project. A detailed decision- making process, communication strategy, and potential stakeholder list was created at the onset of the project, found in Appendix B: Public Involvement Plan. Public Communications The following methods and materials were used to maintain communication with stakeholders throughout the project: »Project website »Contact database »Email updates »In-person engagement (via open houses, pop- up events, and targeted meetings) Open Houses Two rounds of open houses were held to engage stakeholders throughout the process, encourage continued involvement, and to share Study results. At open houses in round one, attendees were asked about the destinations they desire to access with transit and their preferences regarding station locations. The goal of the second round of open houses was to share the Study findings and to gather public comments on the initial recommendations. Supporting Appendices: Study Overview ............................................1 Appendix A: Project Management Plan Public Involvement and Communication ........2 Appendix B: Public Involvement Plan Related Projects ..........................................4 Appendix C: Orange Line Phase 1 Definition and Review of Related Projects Ridership Estimation ....................................4 Appendix D: Ridership Estimation Memorandum Station Analysis ...........................................6 Appendix E: Station Analysis Memorandum Service Planning .........................................7 Appendix F: Service Planning Memorandum Capital and Operating Costs Estimation .........8 Appendix G: Cost Estimation Memorandum Recommendations and Next Steps ................9 Figure 4: Orange Line Extension Website POP-UPS (1) OPEN HOUSES - ROUND 2 (1) PRESENTATIONS (3) Figure 3: Public Engagement Timeline ONGOING: Online Engagement POP-UPS (7) OPEN HOUSES - ROUND 1 (2) PRESENTATIONS (5) TARGETED MEETINGS (3) 2017 2019 3 December 2019 Pop-Up Events The Study team used eight pop-up events to collect input and educate community members in a spontaneous and casual context. Unannounced and at high-activity centers, these events enabled the team to interface with community members who may be unaware of the project or unable or unwilling to attend a traditional public meeting. Targeted Meetings & Focus Groups Three targeted stakeholder meetings were held to discuss specific issues and alternatives in one-on-one or small groups of stakeholders. Online Engagement A project website was developed to share updates, solicit input, and let the public know of ways they could participate in the project (https://www.orangelineextension. com/). People were directed to the website through social media posts, business cards, transit station posters and bus flyers. Website features included: »A place to provide feedback about the project »An overview of the OLX Study »A library of project resources, including the latest open house display boards, the Review of Related Projects Memorandum, and the Public Involvement Plan (PIP) »An overview of BRT and the METRO Orange Line (Phase 1) »A section for event announcements such as upcoming open houses The website also featured an interactive online mapping tool allowing users to provide feedback on station locations, opportunities, and constraints (Figure 6). What We Heard 💬At Burnsville Center area, people prefer a station north or west of the Mall 💬There is strong support for a station at Kenrick Park & Ride 💬There is desire for express bus service south of Kenrick Park & Ride Figure 6: Input collected through interactive mapping activities indicates areas of concentrated preference Response received via: Online Open House Pop-up Figure 5: Burnsville Fire Muster Pop-Up 4 December 2019 Related Projects The project team reviewed past studies, existing transit conditions and characteristics of Orange Line Phase 1 to form a basis for the work conducted in the OLX Study. Findings from relevant past work and related projects can be found in Appendix C: Orange Line Phase One Definition and Review of Related Projects. Findings from this review are broad and wide-ranging, depending on the specific project. Past work has substantiated the potential for improved north- south transit service in the southeast Twin Cities metropolitan area. Ridership Estimation Ridership demand estimates were forecasted in two separate phases in 2017 and 2019. Summaries of these two separate processes are shown in Figure 8. Details of the analysis and results are included as Appendix D: Ridership Estimation Memorandum. Purpose: Understand transit demand south of Kenrick Park & Ride Methodology: Expand on an existing model (from the 2015 Cedar Avenue Transitway Implementation Plan Update) Finding: Low ridership demand south of Kenrick Park & Ride Outcome: Further analysis to focus on transit service at/north of Kenrick Park & Ride Purpose: Look at current and future transit demand at Burnsville Central station and Lakeville Stations area Methodology: Adapt an existing model (from Gold Line BRT project) with updated land use & regional transit service data Finding: Ridership demand at Burnsville Central Station supportive of BRT Outcome: Develop recommendation for a Burnsville Central station area station Figure 8: OLX Study Ridership Estimation Process Figure 7: Burnsville Central Station Area Existing Local Bus Routes 2017 2019 5 December 2019 Ridership Analysis 2017 »Ridership demand south of the Kenrick Park & Ride exists but is relatively small compared to Phase 1 ridership projections and OLX projections. »Ridership south of the Kenrick Park & Ride comes from auto-access, and thus riders may be able to be accommodated without the extension beyond the Kenrick Park & Ride. »Downtown Minneapolis work trips was the desired destination for nearly all potential riders south of Kenrick Park & Ride, suggesting express service should be considered first. 2019 »An Orange Line extension to Burnsville Center would add approximately 220 riders in 2020 and 250 in 2040 »An extension to Lakeville (including a stop at Burnsville Central) would add approximately 370 riders in 2020 and 450 riders in 2040 (Table 1). »Riders boarding the Orange Line at Burnsville Central Station primarily accessed the station by walking to it; riders at the Lakeville Stations primarily drove and parked their car before boarding the Orange Line (Figure 9) »The key destinations for riders boarding at Burnsville Central Station were downtown Minneapolis and 98th St and 35W – indicating a mix of long and short trips »The key destinations for riders boarding at a Lakeville Station were downtown Minneapolis and 35W and Lake Street – indicating primarily long, commuting trips End of Line Location Burnsville Heart of the City Travelers Trail & Burnsville Parkway Burnsville Central Station Lakeville Station(s) 2020 Burnsville Central Station 500 100 220 N/A 2040 Burnsville Central Station 550 100 250 N/A 2020 Lakeville Station(s) 400 100 220 250 2040 Lakeville Station(s) 450 100 250 300 Table 1: OLX Estimated Ridership (2020 & 2040) Figure 9: OLX 2040 Boardings by Access Mode Lakeville Stations(s) 52% 73% 9% 18% 31% 17% Burnsville Central Station Access Mode: Passenger Pick-up/Drop-off Walk Up Park and Ride Transfer 6 December 2019 Station Analysis This station analysis looked at potential OLX station location and concepts using two different methodologies, summarized in Figure 11. A detailed analysis was prepared in 2017 for those stations that would be located in the existing roadway network. In 2019, planning- level analysis was used for those stations that would be constructed in a future roadway network. Further details are included in Appendix E: Station Analysis Memorandum. Key Findings Burnsville Central Station »A station north or west of Burnsville Center Mall would have the largest walkshed, easy connection with local bus service, and conveniently located to both commercial and residential land uses. »A station would require one half- to one acre of space to accommodate pedestrian and bicyclist amenities, local bus service, and passenger pick-up and drop-off areas (Figure 10). Lakeville Station(s) »A Lakeville location located east of I-35, near the Kenrick Park & Ride would have the most residents and jobs within a half-mile. Purpose: Evaluate potential station locations at Bursville Central, Burnsville South, and Lakeville areas Methodology: Looked at demographic and accessibility factors within the existing roadway network Finding: Analysis of operations and accessibility recommend a station location on the north or west side of the mall Outcome: Defined a set of OLX alignment and station location alternatives for further evaluation Purpose: Evaluate Burnsville Central Station space needs, cost estimates, and other design considerations Methodology: Developed two, concept designs to be incorporated into future redevelopment in the Burnsville Center Village area Finding: Inline and offline station concepts adequate for meeting pedestrian and local bus needs Outcome: Detailed design and placement of a Burnsville Center Village station should occur at a later stage and depend on future public and private development decisions 2017 2019 Figure 11: OLX Station Study Analysis Process Figure 10: Burnsville Central Station Layout Concepts Option 1 Option 2 7 December 2019 Service Planning Service planning details and definitions were developed for two potential OLX end of line locations (Burnsville Central and Kenrick Park & Ride areas) using a range of alignment and stop combinations, for a total of four alternatives. The following inputs were used: »Travel speeds »Travel times »Service frequency »Service schedule (weekday hours) Travel times and bus requirements for each alternative are summarized in Table 2 and in greater detail in Appendix F. Service Planning Memorandum. Route Alignment Alternatives One Way Peak- Period Running Time (min) Schedule Cycle Time (min) Additional Required Buses for Extension Route Alternative 1: Burnsville Heart of the City to Burnsville Central Station 11 120 2 Route Alternative 2: Burnsville Heart of the City to Kenrick Park & Ride via CSAH 46 21 140 4 Route Alternative 3: Burnsville Heart of the City to Kenrick Park & Ride via I-35W 19 130 3-4 Route Alternative 4: Burnsville Heart of the City to Kenrick Park & Ride via a stop on CSAH 50 24 150 5 Table 2: Peak Hour Travel Time and Cycle Times for 10-Minute Orange Line Frequency Figure 12: Service Planning Route Alternatives 8 December 2019 Capital and Operating Costs Planning-level capital and operating costs were developed for the OLX. Capital costs were developed by station area, type, and – for Burnsville Central Station area – by transportation network (Table 3). Since road layouts and land uses in the Burnsville Center Village could look very different than they do today, two offline station layouts were developed and analyzed for cost to construct. Operating and maintenance (O&M) costs were developed for the four alignment alternatives analyzed for service planning. Unit costs are from Metro Transit’s BRT Office and are consistent with the cost drivers that were used for the METRO Orange Line Phase 1. Total capital costs by station area and total O&M costs by alignment are shown in Tables 4-5. Detailed costs and methodology are included in Appendix G: Cost Estimation Memorandum. Station Area Transportation Network Type Burnsville Central Station Area Existing Network Offline Station Existing Network Inline Station Burnsville Center Village Network Offline Option 1 (0.5 acre) Burnsville Center Village Network Offline Option 2 (1 acre) Kenrick Park & Ride Station Area Existing Network Offline Station Existing Network Inline Station Table 3: Station Areas and Types Analyzed for Capital Cost Table 4: Capital Costs for Burnsville Central Station Area and Kenrick Park & Ride Station Area (2019$) *Costs will vary based on transportation network and station layout Table 5: Annual (Weekday and Weekend) O&M Costs by Alignment (2019$) Figure 13: Buckhill Road Existing Conditions Burnsville Central Station Area Kenrick Park & Ride Station Area Inline Station Online Station Offline Station Inline Station Offline Station Total Capital Costs $6,300,000 $25,470,000 $4,880,000 - $6,470,000* $6,600,000 $9,300,000 Route Alternative 1 Route Alternative 2 Route Alternative 3 Route Alternative 4 Annual Weekday & Weekend O&M Cost $1,300,000 $2,610,000 $2,650,000 $3,240,000 9 December 2019 Study Recommendations Recommendations were developed based on public and stakeholder feedback and technical analysis. 👍Develop an Orange Line transitway extension (generally Alignment Alternative 1) with an accompanying station at Burnsville Center Village (generally Offline Option 1 or Option 2) 👍Integrate the station in and supportive of the Burnsville Center Village area as public and private redevelopment occurs. 👍Base the timing of OLX on: • the performance of the Orange Line and connecting local bus services, anticipated in late 2021 and • commitments and/or progress towards redevelopment at Burnsville Center. 👍Monitor land uses, development densities, and transit demand over time to assess the feasibility of additional stations south of Burnsville Center Village. Next Steps At the conclusion of this study, the next actions to implementing OLX are shown in Figure 15. LATE 2019: FINALIZE AND PUBLISH METRO ORANGE LINE EXTENSION STUDY RESULTS SPRING 2020: DAKOTA COUNTY REGIONAL RAIL AUTHORITY AND METROPOLITAN COUNCIL ADOPT RECOMMENDATION AND REQUEST THAT METROPOLITAN COUNCIL UPDATE ITS TRANSPORTATION POLICY PLAN LATE 2021-SUMMER 2023: START UP AND MONITOR ORANGE LINE PHASE 1 OPERATIONS, INCLUDING CONNECTING LOCAL BUS WORK WITH BURNSVILLE AND TRANSIT OPERATORS TO PREPARE STATION DESIGN AND SERVICE EXTENSION PLAN 2020-2023 MONITOR BURNSVILLE CENTER VILLAGE REDEVELOPMENT WINTER 2020: SEEK LOCAL RESOLUTIONS OF SUPPORT FALL 2020: TRANSPORTATION POLICY PLAN UPDATE Figure 15: Future Phases/Action Plan Figure 14: Where Would You Like to See a Station in Burnsville?